Roma vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 3
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
0 - 1
ROM
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
REG
3 - 1
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ACP
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
SAN
1 - 2
VNZ
45%
23%
33%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 0
TRE
74%
15%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |