Roma vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
NOV
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
4 - 3
TRI
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
LIV
3 - 1
VNZ
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |