Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
PAD
0 - 1
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ROM
6 - 1
UDI
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROM
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
TRI
1 - 0
UDI
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
NAP
2 - 1
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |