Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
TOR
5 - 0
ROM
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
77%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
COM
3 - 1
TRI
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
TRI
2 - 3
JUV
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |