Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
ROM
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 3
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
TRI
0 - 0
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |