Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROM
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 1
GEN
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
TOR
4 - 1
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |