Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
TOR
3 - 1
ROM
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 0
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
FIO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |