Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
USA
5 - 3
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 1
ROM
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
USA
0 - 0
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
NAP
0 - 0
TRI
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |