Roma vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
ROM
3 - 4
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ROM
2 - 1
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
TRI
2 - 1
JUV
31%
25%
45%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
USA
3 - 0
TRI
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
TRI
1 - 3
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
PAL
2 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
TRI
1 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |