Roma vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
3 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
ROM
5 - 0
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BOL
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BRE
51%
20%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
LEO
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |