Roma vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
ROM
7 - 1
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
0 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
ROM
5 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
LEO
3 - 1
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEO
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 2
LEO
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
LEO
6 - 2
USA
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |