Roma vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ROM
5 - 0
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
USC
1 - 0
ROM
23%
20%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
6 - 0
TRI
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEO
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
LEO
2 - 1
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |