Roma vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
26%
31%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 1
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
29%
29%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
USC
1 - 2
INT
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
USC
1 - 1
FIO
23%
30%
47%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
NAP
1 - 0
USC
60%
26%
15%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
53%
30%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
USC
0 - 2
VER
27%
31%
42%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |