Roma vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
PRO
6 - 1
ROM
20%
19%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
USA
4 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
USA
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |