Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-1
Roma vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
NAP
3 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ROM
2 - 1
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 3
ROM
40%
25%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1960 |
UNI
0 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
ROM
6 - 1
UDI
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1960 |
UNI
0 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
GEN
4 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SDL
6 - 3
UNI
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
UNI
5 - 2
GEN
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
UNI
0 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |