Roma vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ROM
4 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 0
ROM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
PAL
4 - 0
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
UDI
2 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
PRO
2 - 3
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
UDI
1 - 3
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
UDI
0 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |