Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |