Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
FIO
4 - 1
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 2
ACM
76%
13%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
PAD
4 - 1
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 1
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
COM
1 - 3
TOR
23%
22%
56%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASL
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |