Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 2
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 0
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TOR
6 - 0
ASL
94%
4%
2%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
TOR
4 - 0
NAP
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
MOD
2 - 4
TOR
24%
24%
52%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
TOR
6 - 2
ACM
82%
11%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |