Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
70%
16%
13%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
ROM
4 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 2
ROM
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 2
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
70%
16%
13%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
PAD
1 - 3
TOR
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |