Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
ROM
5 - 0
PRO
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
TOR
4 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOR
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
TOR
2 - 3
USC
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
TOR
21%
20%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |