Roma vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
37%
32%
31%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
63%
23%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
CES
0 - 0
ROM
40%
31%
29%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
TER
0 - 2
JUV
16%
26%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 0
TER
50%
29%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
NAP
7 - 1
TER
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
SAM
1 - 0
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |