Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Roma vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
AVE
0 - 0
ROM
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
LAZ
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
ROM
16%
24%
60%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAD
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
STB
3 - 0
BAI
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
CHI
0 - 2
STB
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
STB
0 - 0
ARG
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1984 |
STB
1 - 1
DBU
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
PET
0 - 1
STB
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |