Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Roma vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
ROM
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 2
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
VER
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 2
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 2
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPB
16%
20%
64%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
35%
24%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |