Roma vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 3
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPA
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |