Roma vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LAZ
0 - 3
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
SPA
2 - 0
NAP
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
BOL
3 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 2
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |