Roma vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
REG
2 - 2
ROM
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 3
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 1
UDI
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
SIE
60%
23%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 2
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
CAG
1 - 0
SIE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |