Roma vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 2
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
UDI
3 - 3
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 2
ACM
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 0
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 1
ACM
14%
27%
59%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
SIE
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 0
LAZ
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 1
SIE
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 3
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |