Roma vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ROM
0 - 0
PES
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ANC
0 - 1
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
TOR
2 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
SIE
2 - 2
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SIE
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SIE
1 - 2
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BOL
6 - 3
SIE
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |