Roma vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 0
FRO
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
ROM
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SHF
1 - 2
ROM
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ROM
7 - 0
EMP
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
LAU
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
SLP
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 4
SER
6%
13%
82%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |