Roma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |