Roma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
VNZ
3 - 1
ROM
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
ROM
1 - 1
EMP
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SAL
2 - 1
ROM
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
ROM
3 - 0
VIC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
CAG
4 - 3
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAG
57%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
PRG
2 - 0
SAM
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 1
UDI
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAM
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |