Roma vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
ROM
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ROM
5 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
SSR
1 - 8
RMA
13%
20%
67%
|
92 | 39 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2002 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 1
FEY
77%
14%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
RMA
40%
23%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
DEP
3 - 0
RMA
43%
25%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | -1 |