Roma vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 4
ROM
37%
24%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKQ
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ZIR
2 - 3
QAR
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
QAR
0 - 4
CHL
10%
19%
72%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
QAR
2 - 0
SUM
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |