Roma vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 1
ROM
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 2
PAL
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 3
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 1
TRI
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |