Roma vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 0
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
TRI
3 - 2
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 3
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
PAD
4 - 1
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
PRO
0 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ACM
5 - 0
PRO
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |