Roma vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
ROM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
3 - 1
EMP
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PIA
2 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
EMP
3 - 1
PIA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PIA
0 - 1
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
INT
3 - 1
PIA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
PIA
3 - 1
BOL
40%
27%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |