Roma vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ROM
2 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
ASS
2 - 1
ROM
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
EMP
2 - 3
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ACP
1 - 3
ROM
3%
14%
83%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 0
VER
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
2 - 1
ACP
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
COM
0 - 0
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 0
EMP
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 2
FCC
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |