Roma vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PIA
2 - 4
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ROM
3 - 0
CAM
89%
9%
3%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
42%
29%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
38%
31%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
VER
1 - 0
PRG
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 2
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |