Roma vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
NAP
0 - 1
PRG
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
59%
27%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAG
2 - 1
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
PRG
3 - 0
PIS
57%
27%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
JUV
2 - 1
PRG
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |