Roma vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
VER
0 - 0
ROM
52%
26%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
PRG
1 - 1
ATL
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
PRG
1 - 1
VIC
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
PRG
4 - 0
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
USF
0 - 1
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |