Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-1
Roma vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
ROM
0 - 1
ACM
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 0
ROM
36%
29%
35%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
ROM
14%
26%
60%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
ROM
21%
29%
50%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
ROM
14%
26%
60%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
38%
33%
30%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
30%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |