Roma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
UDI
1 - 1
ROM
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
ROM
3 - 0
MOD
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
VER
0 - 0
ROM
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ALV
3 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 3
ATL
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |