Roma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 0
BRE
70%
17%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
SAM
0 - 2
ROM
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAM
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAL
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
PAL
3 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |