Roma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
0 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
USA
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
28%
22%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |