Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
Roma vs Osters IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
COM
0 - 0
ROM
36%
32%
32%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
OIF
1 - 0
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 0
VER
62%
23%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CES
2 - 0
ROM
39%
31%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Osters IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
OIF
4 - 1
ORE
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
OIF
1 - 0
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
GIF
0 - 4
OIF
25%
27%
49%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
OIF
4 - 0
HIF
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
OIF
6 - 0
MFK
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |