Roma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ROM
5 - 2
NAP
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 2
ROM
87%
9%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 5
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 1
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRO
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
PAL
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
NAP
2 - 3
NOV
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |