Roma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
INT
6 - 0
ROM
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 1
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
JUV
7 - 2
ROM
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ROM
5 - 0
PAD
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
TRI
4 - 2
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 2
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 1
NOV
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ACM
9 - 2
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |