Roma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ROM
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 1
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ASL
3 - 1
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACM
5 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |