Roma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
ASL
5 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
NOV
4 - 0
BOL
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |